#Lightning over the #Kansas prairie from a #supercell #thunderstorm approaching us. This #storm was highly electric with bolts coming out of the front of the updraft. #weather #stormchasing #stormchasers #greatplains #sky #clouds #stormy #nature
A Supercell over Lake Thunderbird on May 19, 2013. This picture was taken just before this storm produced a long track, violent, and destructive EF4 tornado which would go on to rip through Bethel Acres and the rural Oklahoma countryside west of Shawnee, OK. All of the storms on this day had some of the most amazing structure, the big days all have storms which look this way. The motion in the wall cloud at this point was extreme.
Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible today along a developing dryline in Kansas and Western Oklahoma. With high temperature dewpoint spreads, storms should end up fairly high based with large hail and damaging winds possible. The tornado threat in our region isn’t the highest today. Higher based storms can sometimes make for incredible photography, may have to venture west and north later today to see if we can get any decent storm structure developing!
You may or may not have noticed, but we’ve been quite dry across the Southern Plains this past month, parts of the region are seeing just 20-30% of their typical rainfall for this time of year, which is one of our wetter periods. It’s going to be hard to get out of the multi-year drought if we keep having Autumns this dry for sure. Here’s to hoping October can make up for a dry September!
Severe weather with all modes of severe possible across the High Plains today. Storms forming by mid-afternoon….
Chance of severe weather on Wednesday afternoon and night in the Southern/Central Plains. Supercells with large hail and damaging winds the primary threats, although any storms riding along boundaries where dewpoints are locally higher will be capable of a tornado as well. Main threat for tornadoes at this point seems to be I-70 and north in Kansas — but those details will continue to change as more model data becomes available. Also will have to watch the dryline in Western Oklahoma and the E TX Panhandle for higher-based strong to severe storms Wednesday afternoon and evening.
Severe Weather Today Across the High Plains
September 29, 2014
Severe weather looks rather likely from the high plains of New Mexico into Colorado and the adjacent parts of the Texas Panhandle, W KS, and SW Nebraska.
Numerous storms will fire in the higher elevations mid-afternoon and move/grow upscale to the east. Shear parameters and instability suggest some supercells will be embedded within the line with the risk of damaging winds and a tornado or two. The line should weaken after sunset but could continue east into the Panhandles and Western Kansas overnight.
Supercell in SW Oklahoma on October 10, 2010. This storm produced some large hail and a quite strong microburst in Anadarko, OK just after dark.
Looking ahead to this week, the early SPC outlook for days 4-8 does outline a risk of severe weather on Wednesday across Northern Oklahoma and Southern/Central Kansas. Right now this still looks like a pretty standard Fall severe weather threat, with several ‘flies in the ointment’ so to speak. Instability looks limited for much of the area, and the main area of forcing with the storm system is tending to hang back west much of Wed on models. As always though, we’ll be keeping an eye on things and updating regularly on any clear model trends emerging in the coming days!
A #supercell #thunderstorm near Watonga, #Oklahoma on August 17, 2009. #oklahomasky #nature #weather #sky #clouds #storm #stormy #stormchasing #stormchase #igsky #instacool #instanature #instagood #pretty #summer #oklahomaweather